Another day, another exit. After Mike Bloomberg cleared the way for Biden and the moderate side of the party yesterday, Elizabeth Warren announced the suspension of her campaign on March 5, which may open up the left side of the spectrum for Sanders.
Warren’s Run for President
After the news broke, Warren thanked her supporters and her staffers for all their hard work. She had no regrets and considered her run the “honor of her life.” Even though she will no longer run for the presidency, she will continue to fight for her vision of a better union, Warren emphasized.
Warren had once entered the race for her party’s nomination with excellent prospects and had long been ahead of everyone else in national polls. However she performed poorly in the first four states of Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina. Even though her race had pretty much been run at this point, Warren decided to participate in Super Tuesday. The idea of dropping out without giving it a shot in her home state and the theoretical possibility of a miracle comeback must have been too enticing. However, Super Tuesday turned out to be a total disaster for Warren. She did not win a single state. Warren was officially done, and the suspension of her campaign was not an if but a when.
Warren Had Difficulty Distinguishing Her Vision
Warren has to attribute the descent to insignificance to herself. Although her leftist ideology differs in many aspects from Bernie Sander’s one, she was unable to communicate this message to the public and thus failed to establish her own identity outside of Biden’s moderate-establishment camp and Sanders’ socialist lane.
What did not help her cause was the truce between Sanders and Warren — an apparent agreement between the two uber-progressives not to attack each other in public. When Warren briefly got the stone rolling by stating that Sanders said she could not win as a woman, she was still unable to capitalize on it. Even worse, Warren did not attack Sanders at all after that. The furthest Warren took her “criticism” of Sanders was to state that she would make a better president.
Instead, Warren had found her target: Michael Bloomberg. The issues with this approach were evident to all – except for Warren and her team, it appears. Warren needed to attack Sanders, not Bloomberg. The likelihood of Bloomberg’s voters abandoning him in favor of Warren was nonexistent, while the Sanders voters, on the other hand, were and are potential Warren voters, also – except for the die-hard Bernie Bros. The strategies of her campaign must, therefore, be questioned.
Who Will Benefit from Warren’s Exit?
It is now generally believed that Warren’s exit will play into Sanders’ hands due to the overlap in ideology mentioned earlier. What needs to be mentioned, however, is that Warren is particularly popular with middle-aged college-educated women. It is the same group of voters that also tends to gravitate towards Joe Biden. The idea that all Warren voters automatically transfer over to the Sanders camp seems premature, particularly since Warren has not yet endorsed one of the two remaining candidates, unlike Buttigieg, Klobuchar, and Bloomberg.
Warren said she had to think about this question a bit. Again, the consensus here seems to be that Warren will endorse Sanders, which would be the logical step if Warren was indeed as progressive as she claims. However, Warren must also be cognizant that Sanders cannot defeat Trump and could, therefore, sacrifice her political vision for the interests of the party, which is overwhelmingly against Sanders as a candidate.
The race had started with almost 30 candidates. One after another departed from the scene, some of them to be seen again. With Warren’s exit, the race now comes down to a Sanders versus Biden battle.